A practical, deal-data-grounded guide for MSP owners planning an exit. Pure MRR commands 8–12x at the median; blended IT trades 4–6x. Your recurring revenue mix is the single biggest valuation lever in technology M&A.
Clayton G. Stiver, CPA
Managing Partner, Co-Founder · CPA · $1B+ Transaction Value
Enter your numbers and check what applies — see the multiple range and value range your business would likely command in today's market.
Calculation based on Ad Astra Equity transaction data.
Implied EBITDA margin: 20.0%
What lifts your multiple
What drags it down
Market Conditions
Why MSPs Are Among the Most Sought-After Businesses
Managed service providers are among the most sought-after businesses in technology M&A. The subscription-based revenue model — built on monthly recurring fees for IT management, cybersecurity, and cloud services — combined with high customer retention and essential service demand creates exactly the type of predictable, scalable cash flows that institutional buyers prize. MSP consolidation has been one of the most active M&A themes in technology services over the past five years, and buyer demand shows no signs of slowing.
Private equity platforms and strategic IT consolidators are aggressively competing for quality MSPs, driven by the high multiples that recurring managed service revenue commands and the cross-selling opportunities available across a combined customer base. Evergreen Services Group (Alpine Investors) has completed 120+ MSP transactions since 2017 and typically pays 6–8x EBITDA for add-ons per Craig Fulton, Evergreen M&A advisor. The FOCUS Investment Banking size curve is structurally consistent: under $1M EBITDA trades at approximately 4x; $1M EBITDA at 6–8x; $5M+ EBITDA at 12–14x.
MSP owners with strong recurring revenue and capable technical teams are in an excellent exit position in the current market. Solganick reports a notable rise in deal activity in the first two quarters of 2025, with some MSPs recording approximately 20x EBITDA exit multiples for larger platforms. Businesses that meet the core criteria — MRR above $200K, annual churn below 5%, and a capable technical team that operates without owner involvement — are receiving multiple competing offers.
Want to know what YOUR managed service business is worth?
MSP multiples follow a size-and-MRR step curve more predictable than any other technology services category. The Aventis 120-deal study median of 8.9x and the FOCUS IB size curve are the two anchor data points for every seller's expectations.
Multiple range× EBITDA
3× EBITDABottom quartileUnder $1M EBITDA, under 50% recurring, owner-led sales, no security certifications [1]position: 0%
Top of market: Best-in-class MSP platforms with $10M+ EBITDA, cybersecurity or MSSP revenue, organic growth above 15%, and multi-vertical depth can clear 11–20x in competitive processes. [2]
What lifts your multiple
MRR above 70% of total revenue — every 10-point shift adds estimated 0.25x–0.5x EBITDA
Annual logo churn below 5% — the benchmark Aventis and Solganick both cite as primary driver
CMMC Level 2 or SOC 2 Type II readiness creating a compliance moat
Owner not handling escalations or quoting — second-tier leadership delegated
What drags it down
Recurring revenue below 30% — puts the multiple at the project-shop floor of the band
Annual logo churn above 15% — buyers apply 0.5x–1.5x discount or require retention earnout
Top client above 15% of MRR — triggers concentration scrutiny in diligence
Owner holds escalations, quoting, and key client relationships personally
No security certifications — generalist position without compliance moat
What Drives Value
What Impacts the Value of Your MSP Business
Buyers in MSP M&A underwrite to a precise recurring-revenue formula. These six factors — led by MRR share and logo churn — do the most to move your outcome from a 5x add-on to an 11x platform exit.
High impact
Monthly recurring revenue
Monthly recurring revenue (MRR) is contracted, predictable income from managed services, and buyers value it because it reduces reliance on one-time projects and stabilizes cash flow. Higher MRR and stronger retention typically support higher revenue multiples and a higher offer price. For MSPs, buyers often favor 70%+ of revenue as recurring with low churn and multi-year agreements. Businesses with 80%+ recurring revenue command premiums of 1.5x–2.5x above the industry median. Increase MRR by shifting clients to standardized managed packages, tightening renewals, and documenting pricing and service delivery.
High impact
Customer churn rate
Customer churn rate measures how often clients cancel, and buyers care because it signals contract stability and long-term revenue predictability. Lower churn supports higher multiples and can reduce holdbacks or earnouts tied to retention. For MSPs, annual churn under approximately 10% (or net revenue retention above 100%) is typically viewed as strong recurring revenue quality. The MSP industry averages 8.4% annual client churn — with the lowest performers (under 5%) consistently at MSPs offering co-managed IT and vCIO services. Tighten onboarding, strengthen SLAs, and move clients to multi-year agreements with annual price escalators before going to market.
High impact
Technical team depth
Technical team depth is the breadth of qualified engineers and leaders who can deliver service without relying on the owner, which buyers value for continuity and scalability. Deeper coverage lowers key-person risk and reduces post-close replacement costs, supporting higher EBITDA multiples and fewer holdbacks. For MSPs, buyers typically want at least 2–3 cross-trained Tier 2/3 engineers plus a service manager documented in the org chart. Improve by standardizing SOPs, building redundancy for top client accounts, and adding mid-level hires before marketing the business.
High impact
Owner dependency
Owner dependency measures how much the MSP relies on you for sales, delivery, and client relationships, and buyers care because it increases transition risk. High dependency typically reduces valuation or leads to holdbacks, earnouts, or a required long post-close role — estimated at 1.0x–2.0x EBITDA lower than the owner-independent peer. If you manage most key accounts or handle escalations and quoting, buyers will discount the offer versus an MSP with documented processes and a bench of technical leads. Reduce dependency by delegating client ownership, documenting SOPs, and building a second-tier leadership team.
High impact
Customer concentration
Customer concentration measures how much revenue depends on a small number of clients, and buyers care because high dependence increases churn and cash-flow risk. Lower concentration typically supports a higher multiple and can reduce holdbacks or earnouts. For an MSP, buyers often get cautious when a single client represents more than 10–15% of MRR or the top five exceed approximately 30–40%. A top customer above 15% of MRR reduces multiples by 0.5x–1.0x; above 40% triggers a 1.0x–2.0x discount or deal-killer outcome. Before going to market, diversify by growing smaller accounts and securing longer-term managed service agreements.
Medium impact
Proprietary tools or IP
Recurring revenue quality reflects how predictable and durable your contracted cash flow is, and buyers prioritize it because it reduces customer churn and earnings volatility. Higher percentages of multi-year, auto-renewing managed services revenue typically increase EBITDA multiples and support higher cash at close. For MSPs, a common benchmark is 70%+ of revenue from managed services under 12–36 month agreements with low churn. A sell-side Quality of Earnings process adds an average of 0.4x EBITDA across 360 analyzed transactions. Improve by converting projects to fixed-fee bundles, tightening renewal terms, and tracking net revenue retention monthly.
See where your business lands on these six factors in a free 15-minute call.
Four buyer types compete for MSPs today, underwriting the same MRR base at materially different multiples. The competitive auction between PE roll-up platforms and strategic MSSP acquirers is what drives MSP valuations above the technology services median.
Private equity platforms
PE-backed MSP roll-up platforms are the dominant buyers in today's market. Evergreen Services Group (Alpine Investors) has completed 120+ MSP transactions since 2017 and typically pays 6–8x EBITDA for add-ons per Craig Fulton, Evergreen M&A advisor. Other named acquirers include New Charter Technologies, Thrive Networks, Pine Services Group (Alpine), Courser, Integris, Blue Mantis (Recognize Partners — North Shore Data Services), Netrio (Agio), Secur-Serv (Transom Capital — 3 acquisitions in 12 months), and Abacus Group combined with Medicus IT (FFL Partners merger Jul 2025). They target $1M–$10M tuck-ins and $5M+ platforms with 70%+ MRR, SOC 2 or CMMC certifications, vertical depth, and 95%+ logo retention. PE platforms almost always require meaningful equity rollover of 15–30% to align incentives.
Typical deal size
$1M–$10M EBITDA
Pay premium for
70%+ MRR, vertical depth, SOC 2 / CMMC
Time to close
90–120 days
Strategic IT acquirers
Strategic MSSP and cybersecurity acquirers are targeting MSPs for platform integration, AI-native capability, and security-revenue expansion. LevelBlue acquired Trustwave in 2025; ServiceNow acquired Moveworks for $2.85B in March 2025; Proofpoint, Kiteworks, and Torq are active in the cybersecurity adjacency. Strategics target $25M+ EBITDA at the platform end but make smaller tuck-ins for vertical or capability fills. They prioritize MSSP revenue share, AI-native and agentic capabilities, and security platform integration — and they typically structure deals at 80–95% cash with 5–15% rollover, the cleanest structure in this buyer pool.
Typical deal size
$25M+ EBITDA for top strategics
Pay premium for
MSSP revenue, AI-native capability
Time to close
75–120 days
National MSP consolidators
National MSP consolidators are actively acquiring MSPs to expand geographic coverage, add recurring revenue, and standardize service delivery. Secur-Serv (Transom Capital) completed 3 acquisitions in 12 months; other national platforms are expanding contracted MRR-based revenue at scale. They look for strong MRR, low churn, mature operations, and a defensible client base with solid documentation and metrics. Typical targets have steady profitability and meaningful scale, often $2M–$20M in annual revenue with a high percentage of contracted recurring revenue. Deals commonly include some seller transition support and earnouts tied to retention and growth.
Typical deal size
$2M–$20M revenue
Pay premium for
Contracted MRR, geographic coverage
Time to close
90–120 days
Search fund buyers
Search fund buyers are entrepreneurs backed by investors who are actively acquiring MSPs because predictable recurring revenue supports stable cash flow and financing. They look for owner-run firms with sticky managed services contracts, strong customer retention, and clear operational processes. Typical targets are $500K–$3M EBITDA MSPs with a proven recurring revenue base and low customer concentration. Deals often include seller transition support for 6–18 months and may use an earnout or rollover equity to align incentives post-close.
Typical deal size
$500K–$3M EBITDA
Pay premium for
Stable recurring base, low concentration
Time to close
120–180 days
Get Ready
How to Prepare Your MSP Business for Sale
Buyers reward sellers who arrive prepared with clean MRR documentation and a technical team that can operate independently. These five steps, executed 6–12 months before going to market, are the difference between a 5x add-on and an 11x platform outcome.
01
Get your MRR metrics in order
Prepare a detailed monthly recurring revenue report — total active contracts, average MRR per client, contract length distribution, trailing 12-month churn rate, and net MRR growth trend. These are the core metrics PE buyers and strategic acquirers use to value MSPs — having clean, detailed MRR data is the single most important preparation step. Buyers build their entire valuation model around these numbers, and inconsistent or missing MRR data is the most common reason bids come in below expectations.
02
Reduce customer churn below 5% annually
Customer churn is the most scrutinized metric in MSP M&A. If your trailing churn rate exceeds 5%, focus on reducing it before going to market — analyze the reasons for cancellations, strengthen quarterly business review processes, and address service delivery issues. Even a modest reduction in churn meaningfully improves your multiple: the difference between 5% and 10% annual churn can translate to 0.5x–1.0x EBITDA in buyer underwriting.
03
Standardize your service delivery platform
Buyers pay premium multiples for MSPs with documented, repeatable service delivery — PSA and RMM platform utilization, standardized onboarding and offboarding processes, and SLA documentation. If your operations rely on informal processes or individual technician knowledge, standardize them before engaging buyers. A sell-side Quality of Earnings report adds an average of 0.4x EBITDA across 360 analyzed transactions. Compliance certifications — CMMC Level 2, SOC 2 Type II, NIST 800-171 — add 0.5x–1.5x in the compliance-moat premium.
04
Normalize your financials
Prepare 3–5 years of clean P&L statements with all owner add-backs documented. Separate MRR, project revenue, and hardware resale clearly — buyers apply different multiples to each stream and need well-organized financial data to build their acquisition model. Cash-basis accounting or inconsistent financial records reduce multiples by 0.5x–1.5x via failed sell-side QoE and buyer re-trades.
05
Build technical team depth
Buyers want a technical team that can deliver services, manage escalations, and onboard new clients without the owner's involvement. Document all technical certifications, define Tier 1-2-3 escalation paths, and ensure your service desk can operate independently — this is the operational foundation buyers need to see before committing to a premium valuation. Owner dependency reduces multiples by an estimated 1.0x–2.0x EBITDA; building this bench 12–18 months before sale is the highest-ROI organizational investment.
Illustrative Deal
What a Top-Quartile MSP Exit Looks Like
Illustrative model only. Not representative of a current or past Ad Astra Equity client engagement. Figures are directional and based on representative market data.
The Business
A Mid-Atlantic MSP with cybersecurity focus, 13 years of operating history, financial services vertical concentration, SOC 2 Type II certified and CMMC Level 2 ready. The firm's 78% recurring MRR and 96% logo retention placed it firmly in the top-quartile recurring-heavy cohort.
Revenue$14M
EBITDA$2.8M (20.0% margin)
MRR base78% of revenue — recurring
Logo retention96% annual retention
Outcome
Enterprise value$30.8M
Multiple11.0x EBITDA
BuyerPE-backed MSP platform (Evergreen / Blue Mantis / Pine Services class)
Time to close95 days
Structure: 75% cash at close, 18% equity rollover, 7% earnout on MRR retention
Why it worked
78% MRR plus 96% logo retention — the two metrics Aventis and Solganick both cite as primary MSP multiple drivers — anchored the 11.0x outcome.
CMMC Level 2 plus SOC 2 Type II created a compliance moat that narrowed the buyer field to high-quality platforms rather than generalist acquirers.
Financial services vertical specialization drove competing bids — vertically specialized MSPs report 38% higher client retention per the Service Leadership Index.
From a recent client
What happens when you bring in the right advisor
Ad Astra ran a competitive process and we landed at a number I genuinely didn't think was on the table. They earned every dollar of their fee — and they don't ask for one until you close.
How Ad Astra Sells MSP Businesses
Our Process
Ad Astra Equity advises MSP owners through the full transaction lifecycle, starting 6–12 months before your target close to position the MRR mix, certifications, and team depth that command the highest competitive bids from PE roll-up platforms and strategic acquirers.
01
Discover & value
We learn your MSP, normalize MRR by contract type and churn cohort, benchmark against the Aventis 8.9x median and FOCUS IB size curve, and give you a realistic value range before any market activity.
02
Position & document
We build the marketing materials, data room, and management presentation that highlight MRR share, logo churn, technical team depth, compliance certifications, and vertical specialization to the right buyer pool.
03
Curated buyer outreach
We approach a targeted list of PE-backed MSP roll-up platforms (Evergreen, New Charter, Blue Mantis, Pine Services, Thrive), strategic MSSP acquirers, and qualified individual buyers under NDA — confidentiality is preserved throughout.
04
Negotiate & close
We manage the bid process, defend the MRR-based multiple against project-revenue haircuts, lead through diligence, and shepherd the close — all on a success-only fee. You pay nothing until your deal closes.
FAQ
Common questions
Everything managed service owners ask before going to market — from multiples and timing to deal structure and what we charge.
MSPs trade between 3x and 20x EBITDA depending on MRR share, EBITDA size, and churn. Aventis Advisors analyzed 120 MSP deals and found a median of 8.9x EBITDA and a median deal size of $38.5M. The FOCUS Investment Banking size curve is the most actionable benchmark: under $1M EBITDA trades at approximately 4x; $1M EBITDA at 6–8x (Evergreen's stated add-on range); $5M+ EBITDA at 12–14x. Best-in-class MSPs with cybersecurity or MSSP revenue have recorded approximately 20x exits for larger platforms. Vertical specialization in FinServ, healthcare, or defense adds 1–2 turns above the generalist band.