1. Comparable transactions — the market anchor
The comparable-transactions method answers the question buyers actually ask: what did similar businesses sell for, recently?
To do it well:
- Define the comp set. Same industry vertical, similar revenue and EBITDA range, similar customer mix. A $4M EBITDA HVAC services company is not comparable to a $40M EBITDA industrial HVAC manufacturer.
- Pull at least 8–12 closed transactionsfrom the last 24 months. Sources: PitchBook, S&P CapitalIQ, BVR's Pratt's Stats, and proprietary advisor databases like ours.
- Calculate EV/EBITDA multiples for each, then report the median, the interquartile range, and the relevant outliers (PE platform deals tend to be higher than strategic-tuck-in deals).
- Adjust for your specifics. Smaller businesses earn lower multiples than the median. High customer concentration depresses the number. Recurring revenue, multi-year contracts, and PE-ready management earn premium.
Industry-specific bands change quarterly. Our sell-a-business directory publishes the current ranges with citations.
2. Discounted cash flow — the future-cash test
DCF projects free cash flow for a forecast period (typically 5–7 years), discounts it back to present value, and adds a terminal value for the steady state beyond the forecast window.
The mechanics:
- Free cash flow = EBITDA − cash taxes − maintenance capex − change in working capital.
- Discount rate (WACC) = blend of the cost of equity (using a size-adjusted CAPM for private companies, often 14–22%) and the after-tax cost of debt.
- Terminal value = either a perpetual-growth model or an exit multiple. Sensitivity-test both.
DCF is most useful when:
- The business is non-steady-state (launching a product, losing a major customer, ramping a new geography).
- The comp set is thin or unrepresentative — niche industries, very large deals.
- You are valuing a specific cashflow stream (a synergy case for a strategic acquirer, or a partner buy-out scenario).
For most owner-operated, steady-state businesses, a DCF result that diverges more than 25% from a well-built comparable-transactions analysis is almost always wrong in the DCF — usually because the discount rate or terminal multiple is mis-set.
3. Asset-based — the floor
Asset-based valuation calculates the fair market value of every asset (tangible and intangible) less every liability. For most operating businesses, this number is materially below the operating value — that gap is goodwill, and it is what buyers are actually paying for.
Asset-based is the right primary method only when:
- The business is being liquidated or wound down (no buyer for goodwill).
- The business is asset-heavy and undermanaged — a manufacturing operation where the real value is the land, equipment, and inventory rather than the cashflow.
- You are valuing for a divorce, estate, or partner buy-out where the instruction specifies fair market value of assets.
In a sale-side advisory context, asset-based valuation usually shows up as a reasonableness check — a floor that confirms the operating value is correctly measured.
Putting it together: triangulation
A defensible valuation report shows all three methods, presents a range from each, and reconciles them into a recommended range — typically a 15–25% band, not a point estimate.
What good triangulation looks like in practice:
- Two methods cluster tightly (say, comps $35M–$42M and DCF $36M–$44M).
- The third method anchors the floor (asset-based $14M for a services business — confirming most value is goodwill, which is consistent with the operating result).
- A reconciliation paragraph explains why the recommended range is what it is, and which factors would push you up or down inside that range.
When methods diverge by more than 30%, you have a measurement problem, not a business problem. The most common causes: stale comp data, an unrealistic growth forecast, or a buried adjustment in EBITDA.
When you need a formal valuation
Self-estimated numbers are fine for planning. A formal valuation is required when the number has legal or tax consequences:
- 409A. Granting stock options or other equity compensation in a private company.
- Estate and gifting. Transferring shares to family or trusts with IRS scrutiny.
- Partner buy-outs and divorces. Settling a contested value with finality.
- SBA financing. Lenders require an independent business valuation for many acquisition loans.
Our valuation advisory team delivers conclusion-of-value and calculation-of-value reports under USPAP and AICPA SSVS standards.
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